JR Swift’s Blog

What I’m Thinking About Today

All But Over

Posted by jrswift on November 4, 2008

Well, if things continue as projected, you have a new President and his name is Barack Obama.  There is now a consensus that Ohio will go for the Democrats.  I can see no scenario that gives McCain the Presidency if he loses Ohio.  The low end for Obama is now probably 338-200 and he may do slightly better than that.  Since I predicted a range of 350-400 for Obama, I may still get it right.  That probably depends on Obama taking Missouri and they may still be counting there tomorrow morning.   The weak showing for alternative party candidates also indicate that Obama is probably going to exceed 50% of the vote and likely will have the best showing by a Democrat since Lyndon Johnson in 1964.  My curious observation for this posting is that, for the moment, Obama leads in the raw vote totals in Nebraska.  He won’t win it but that is not a good number for Republicans.

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